Page 26 - HurstFY23AnnualBudget
P. 26

APPROVED BUDGET FISCAL YEAR 2022-2023






               DEMOGRAPHICS AND ECONOMICS

               Hurst  is  considered  a  major  retail-
               commercial  center  of  northeast  Tarrant            Annual Sales Tax Revenue
               County. North East Mall and a number of       25.00
                                                                                                     24.31
               quality  shopping  centers  throughout  the
                                                             24.00
               City provide residents with a wide variety
               of  goods  and  services  from  which  to
                                                             23.00
               choose. North East Mall is central to our
               economic success as sales tax continues to    22.00                           21.92
               be  a  major  component  of  the  city’s  tax         21.35
                                                                             20.90
               revenue. However, the future of regional      21.00
                                                                                     20.29
               shopping malls is changing and the malls
                                                             20.00
               ownership,  Simon  Property  Group,  has
               expressed  interest  in  reinvesting  in  the
                                                             19.00
               mall  property  that  could  result  in  a  shift
               from  retail  to  housing,  office  space,  and    18.00
               other lifestyle-oriented development.  The           2017-18  2018-19  2019-20  2020-21  2021-22
               graph to the right illustrates a recent trend
               of declining sales tax revenue heading into the pandemic.  The increases in FY 2021 and FY 2022
               exceeded expectations; however, the current state of the economy does not support a continued
               upward trend.  We believe much of the increase in due to unexpected pandemic spending on
               home  offices  and other  home  improvements,  federal  stimulus  programs,  and  inflation.   The
               increased revenue is largely offset by increasing costs associated with inflation.  The FY 2023
               General Fund sales tax budget includes a budget to budget increase of 7.2% and includes an
               economic contingency of about 10%.  The city maintains a conservative approach to budgeting
               sales  tax  revenue  at  approximately  90%  of  the  projected  revenue.  This  helps  mitigate  any
               negative and unexpected economic conditions. The City collects 2% of sales and use receipts from
               businesses within the City. Based upon recent trends and conversations with North East Mall
               ownership, we believe there will be a long-term shift with increasing reliance upon property tax
               revenue.  The  city  recognizes  the  importance  of  our  relationship  with North  East  Mall  and  is
               working closely with mall ownership to plan for the next chapter in the mall’s life cycle.




















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