Page 277 - Saginaw FY22 Adopted Annual Budget
P. 277

CITY OF SAGINAW
                             GENERAL AND DEBT SERVICE FUND FIVE YEAR FORECAST


                                               ADOPTED     ESTIMATED    ESTIMATED    ESTIMATED    ESTIMATED
                                               2021-2022    2022-2023    2023-2024    2024-2025    2025-2026
            GENERAL FUND
            BEGINNING RESOURCES               $   11,584,461  $      9,683,036  $     9,333,036  $     8,972,536  $     8,601,221
            REVENUES
             Current Property Taxes           $     6,805,960  $      7,495,782  $     8,073,219  $     8,660,961  $     9,311,684
             Sales Tax                               5,788,900          5,904,678         6,022,772         6,143,227         6,266,092
             Other Taxes                                  39,300               40,300              42,300              44,300              46,300
             Franchise Fees                          1,565,000          1,575,000         1,580,000         1,585,000         1,590,000
             License, Permits, Fees, and Fines         1,486,525          1,553,000         1,609,000         1,688,000         1,739,000
             Other Revenue                              429,440             259,800            264,260            268,770            273,320
             Grant Assistance                             50,000               50,000              50,000              50,000              50,000
             Interest on Investments                        2,400                 5,000                5,050                5,101                5,152
             Transfers from Other Funds              2,008,085          2,108,489         2,213,914         2,324,609         2,440,840
            TOTAL REVENUES                    $   18,175,610  $    18,992,049  $   19,860,514  $   20,769,968  $   21,722,387
            EXPENDITURES
               Personnel Services             $   14,156,230  $    14,864,042  $   15,607,244  $   16,387,606  $   17,206,986
               Supplies and Services                 3,938,740          4,056,902         4,178,609         4,303,968         4,433,087
               Capital Outlay                        1,914,345             350,000            360,500            371,315            382,454
               Transfer to Other Funds                    67,720               71,106              74,661              78,394              82,314
            TOTAL EXPENDITURES                $   20,077,035  $    19,342,050  $   20,221,014  $   21,141,283  $   22,104,841
            ENDING RESOURCES                  $     9,683,036  $      9,333,036  $     8,972,536  $     8,601,221  $     8,218,767
               Restricted Resources                  5,019,259          4,817,736         5,036,588         5,265,722         5,505,632

               Unrestricted/unreserved Resources         4,663,777     4,515,299.63    3,935,947.47    3,335,498.83    2,713,134.90

               Increase/(Decrease in Fund Balance)  $    (1,901,425)  $        (350,000)  $       (360,500)  $       (371,315)  $       (382,454)
            DEBT SERVICE FUND
            BEGINNING RESOURCES               $     1,081,565  $         987,165  $        987,165  $        987,165  $        987,165
            REVENUES
             Current Property Taxes           $     4,642,825  $      5,670,530  $     5,070,300  $     5,370,800  $     4,560,235
             Other Revenue                                16,500                 16,700              16,800              16,900              17,000
            TOTAL REVENUES                    $     4,659,325  $      5,687,230  $     5,087,100  $     5,387,700  $     4,577,235
            EXPENDITURES
               Principal Payments - Bonds     $     3,160,000  $      3,942,270  $     3,538,130  $     3,855,445  $     3,268,030
               Interest Payments - Bonds             1,577,725          1,728,760         1,532,570         1,515,655         1,292,405
               Other Expenses                             16,000               16,200              16,400              16,600              16,800
            TOTAL EXPENDITURES                $     4,753,725  $      5,687,230  $     5,087,100  $     5,387,700  $     4,577,235
            ENDING RESOURCES                  $        987,165  $         987,165  $        987,165  $        987,165  $        987,165
               Increase/(Decrease in Fund Balance)  $            (94,400)  $                        -  $                       -  $                       -  $                       -
            The long range financial forecast is a planning tool only. It provides a multi-year overview of possible financial conditions. During the annual
            budget process, the City Manager and City Council will assess the current needs of the City and make decisions accordingly.


            The annual budget is developed within the context of the Comprehensive Master Plan, the Capital Improvement Plan, and the Department Five
            Year Plans. Each year these plans are revised based on more current cost estimates, funding constraints, and changing priorities. The above
            five year forecast shows the General Fund and Debt Service Funds balanced with planned drawdowns of fund balance for one time capital
            purchases. The Debt Service Fund estimates are based on bond sales of $23.7M in FY21/22 for the construction of a new Library and Senior
            Citizens Center, $13.6 M in FY22/23 for street and park improvemenets, $15.2 M in FY23/24 for street improvements, and $6M in FY24/25 for
            street improvements. All bonds auhorized by voters in the May 2021 bond election are projected to be issued by FY24/25. The tax rate impact
            will be and increase of 4.9 cents in FY22/23, and increase of 2 cents in FY23/24, an increase of 3 cents in FY24/25, and no increase in
            FY25/26 due to the retirement of 2014 General Obligation Refunding Bonds.
            Assumptions in the forecast include an annual taxable value increase of 2%. Sales tax is projected to grow by 2% per year. Other taxes
            remain the same except a gradual increase in mixed beverage tax as growth continues. There is expected growth in waste disposal franchise
            fees. Court fines will gradually increase as the Police Department remains fully staffed. Recreation fees will gradually increase to a pre-
            pandemic level as programming continues to increase. The fees collected from the school district are eliminated in future years, as the school
            district plans to hire it's own officers. Ttansfers from other funds assumes a 5% increase each year to reimburse the General Fund for
            operating costs incurred on behalf of the Enterprise, Darinage, adn CCPD Fund. Personnel Services assumes a 5% increase annually for
            salary and related benefits. Supplies and Services includes a 3% increase each year. Capital Outlay is projected to be $350,000 in FY22/23
            and increase 3% each year.  These one time capital outlays will come from fund balance.

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