Page 120 - City of Westlake FY20 Budget
P. 120

Section 2 Financial Analysis

                                                                                      Forecast Overview

              Multiyear planning is a key component of Westlake’s financial principles.  Without proper planning, multi-
              year sustainability would not be attainable.

              With these priorities in mind, the Town approaches multiyear planning from these perspectives:
                  •  First, as it relates to revenue, effective economic analysis is essential to accurate forecasting.
                     Various data on local economic information is used when projecting revenues for the budget. This
                     data includes economic indicators such as interest rates, wages, health care costs, consumer
                     spending, and housing and commercial growth. The data gathered from these sources are used to
                     create financial scenarios for stronger current budget
                     decisions.                                                      KEY REVENUE DRIVERS
                  •  On the expenditure side, the operational impact of                   Tax Rate
                     projects and programs have been identified and                  Net Taxable Value
                     incorporated into the budget and a multi-year analysis has          Sales Tax
                     been completed to confirm the sustainability of the             Mixed Beverage Tax
                     budget over time.                                                 Franchise Fees
                                                                                     Licenses & Permits
              One of the goals for the budget is to anticipate and make              Charges for Services
              deliberate decisions to reach financial and service goals. These   Intergovernmental Revenues
              trends are graphed and provided as a part of this budget’s support
              materials to provide a deeper understanding of the Town’s overall      Fines & Forfeitures
              financial condition.The Long-Range Financial Forecast takes a           Interest Income
              forward look at the Town’s revenues and expenditures. It sets the stage for the budget process, facilitating
              both Council and staff in establishing priorities and allocating resources appropriately.

              Forecasting gives the Council time to strategize as to course we
              may want to make financially, both in the short and long term.  To   KEY EXPENDITURE DRIVERS
              maximize the benefit of long-range planning, Council has                 Overtime Costs
              established the following goals:                                       Operating Supplies
                  •  Sustain existing programs at high service levels.               Apparatus & Tools
                  •  Maintain a healthy General Fund balance of at least 180         Motor Vehicle Fuel
                     operating days annually.                                           Maintenance
                  •  Maintain competitive employee compensation within 3%          Travel, Training & Dues
                     of the median for the market.                                      Utility Costs
                  •  Provide adequate and stable funding for street and facility    Professional Services
                     maintenance projects.                                             Insurance Costs
                                                                                     Fleet Replacements
              Its purpose is to identify financial trends, shortfalls, and issues so   Capital Equipment Replacements
              the Town can proactively address them. It does so by projecting
              out into the future the fiscal results of continuing the Town’s current service levels and policies, providing a
              snapshot of what the future will look like as a result of the decisions made in the recent past.

              The purpose of the forecast is to get an idea (based on conservative assumptions) regarding what will
              happen in the regional and state economy, and on near-term and long-term revenue and expenditure
              drivers during the five (5) year planning period. The term “conservative” used in the context of financial
              forecasting means revenues are forecast at low growth levels or even at a decline (depending on the
              revenue source).






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