Page 53 - FY2020Colleyville
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GENERAL FUND FORECAST


                                       BUDGET   YE PROJECTED  BUDGET  PROJECTED  PROJECTED  PROJECTED  PROJECTED
                                       FY 2019    FY 2019    FY 2020    FY 2021   FY 2022    FY 2023    FY 2024
             BEGINNING FUND BALANCE     $9,106,515  $8,991,999  $9,605,174  $10,011,546  $10,368,172  $10,674,300  $10,929,230
             REVENUE:
             Ad Valorem Taxes          $14,322,575  $14,685,000  $15,090,882  $15,619,063  $16,165,730  $16,731,531  $17,317,134
             Sales Tax                  $4,008,292  $4,008,292  $4,008,292  $4,048,375  $4,088,859  $4,129,747  $4,171,045
             Franchise Fees             $2,105,000  $2,267,407  $1,942,500  $1,961,925  $1,981,544  $2,001,360  $2,021,373
             Licenses & Permits          $975,400  $1,029,450  $910,000  $919,100   $928,291   $937,574  $946,950
             Fines                       $822,604   $667,524  $640,000   $646,400   $652,864   $659,393  $665,987
             Charges for Service         $901,100   $852,000  $875,600   $884,356   $893,200   $902,132  $911,153
             Intergovernmental           $364,483   $364,483  $364,483   $368,128   $371,809   $375,527  $379,282
             Miscellaneous Income        $226,000   $398,000  $348,000   $354,960   $362,059   $369,300  $376,686
             Transfers In                $385,507   $385,507  $409,420   $417,608   $425,961   $434,480  $443,169
             TOTAL REVENUES           $24,110,961  $24,657,663  $24,589,177  $25,219,915  $25,870,316  $26,541,044  $27,232,782
             Expenditures              $22,544,488  $22,544,488  $22,682,805  $23,363,289  $24,064,188  $24,786,113  $25,529,697
             Contribution- CIP projects  $1,500,000  $1,500,000  $1,500,000  $1,500,000  $1,500,000  $1,500,000  $1,500,000
             TOTAL EXPENDITURES       $24,044,488  $24,044,488  $24,182,805  $24,863,289  $25,564,188  $26,286,113  $27,029,697
             NET REVENUE                 $66,473  $613,175   $406,372   $356,626   $306,129  $254,931   $203,085
             ENDING FUND BALANCE        $9,172,988  $9,605,174  $10,011,546  $10,368,172  $10,674,300  $10,929,230  $11,132,313
             DAYS OF FUND BALANCE            139       146        151        152        152       152        150


             The five-year forecast (shown above) was prepared and presented to the City Council to guide
             decision making during the budget process and ensure that long-term implications are
             considered.   The forecast served as a caution to  adding recurring expenditures  unless
             absolutely necessary and generated discussion about the need to reduce operating
             expenditures in order to achieve the goal of adopting the effective tax rate.
             Significant revenue assumptions include a 3.5% increase in revenue from assessed valuation
             in future years and declining tax-supported debt.  With adopting the effective tax rate in FY
             2020, no new revenue was budgeted for ad valorem taxes.  A 1% increase in sales tax is
             projected for FY 2020-2024, based on the anticipated impact of the State Highway 26 street
             reconstruction project on the city’s primary business corridor.  The City has made a concerted
             effort to provide various business support programs during construction, which appear to have
             had a positive impact.  Overall, the revenue assumptions are conservative and will be adjusted
             in future years should any revenue category outperform these projections.

             The forecast for future years reflects a 3% increase in base expenditures for cost increases for
             materials or contractual services and for personnel costs.  The visual presentation of these
             costs in a financial forecast provides a clearer understanding of how commitments and general
             cost increases can limit the ability to absorb additional items into the budget each year.  This
             forecast will be updated annually and will be used to guide future budget discussions as well.
















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