Page 51 - Colleyville FY19 Budget
P. 51

GENERAL FUND FORECAST



                                       PROJECTED     BUDGET      PROJECTED   PROJECTED   PROJECTED   PROJECTED
                                        FY 2018      FY 2019      FY 2020     FY 2021     FY 2022      FY 2023
             BEGINNING FUND BALANCE      $8,866,760   $9,106,515  $9,172,988  $9,235,023  $9,294,814   $9,354,777
             REVENUE:
             Ad Valorem Taxes           $14,322,575  $14,322,575  $14,895,478  $15,491,297  $16,110,949  $16,755,387
             Sales Tax                   $3,800,000   $4,008,292  $4,088,458  $4,170,227  $4,253,632   $4,338,704
             Franchise Fees              $2,070,000   $2,105,000  $2,126,050  $2,147,311  $2,168,784   $2,190,471
             Licenses & Permits           $968,400     $975,400     $985,154    $995,006  $1,004,956   $1,015,005
             Fines                        $920,460     $822,604     $830,830    $839,138    $847,530    $856,005
             Charges for Service          $886,300     $901,100     $910,111    $919,212    $928,404    $937,688
             Intergovernmental            $359,534     $364,483     $368,128    $371,809    $375,527    $379,282
             Miscellaneous Income         $200,000     $226,000     $230,520    $235,130    $239,833    $244,630
             Transfers In                 $407,297     $385,507     $393,217    $401,081    $409,103    $417,285
             TOTAL REVENUES            $23,934,566  $24,110,961  $24,827,946  $25,570,212 $26,338,717 $27,134,460
             Expenditures               $22,194,811  $22,544,488  $23,265,912  $24,010,421  $24,778,754  $25,571,674
             Contribution- CIP projects  $1,500,000   $1,500,000  $1,500,000  $1,500,000  $1,500,000   $1,500,000
             TOTAL EXPENDITURES        $23,694,811  $24,044,488  $24,765,912  $25,510,421 $26,278,754 $27,071,674
             NET REVENUE                 $239,755      $66,473     $62,034     $59,791      $59,963     $62,785
             ENDING FUND BALANCE         $9,106,515   $9,172,988  $9,235,023  $9,294,814  $9,354,777   $9,417,561
             DAYS OF FUND BALANCE              140          139         136         133         130          127



             The five-year forecast (shown above) was prepared and presented to the City Council to guide
             decision  making  during  the  budget  process  and  ensure  that  long-term  implications  are
             considered.    The  forecast  served  as  a  caution  to  adding  recurring  expenditures  unless
             absolutely necessary and generated discussion about the need to reduce operating
             expenditures in order to achieve the goal of adopting the effective tax rate.
             Significant revenue assumptions include a 4.0% increase in revenue from assessed valuation
             in future years and declining tax-supported debt.  With adopting the effective tax rate in FY
             2019, no new revenue was budgeted for ad valorem taxes.  A 2% increase in sales tax is
             projected for FY 2019-2023,  as  the impact of the State Highway 26 street reconstruction
             project on the city’s primary business corridor has been less than anticipated.  The City has
             made a concerted effort to provide various business support programs during construction,
             which appear to have had a positive impact.  Overall, the revenue  assumptions are
             conservative  and  will  be  adjusted in  future years should any  revenue  category  outperform
             these projections.

             The forecast for future years reflects a 3.2% increase in base expenditures for cost increases
             for materials or contractual services and for personnel costs.  The visual presentation of these
             costs in a financial forecast provides a clearer understanding of how commitments and general
             cost increases can limit the ability to absorb additional items into the budget each year.  This
             forecast will be updated annually and will be used to guide future budget discussions as well.














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